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US$72 billion leakage at checkout

By CybersecAsia editors | Wednesday, May 13, 2026, 2:11 PM Asia/Singapore

US billion leakage at checkout

Asia Pacific’s e-commerce boom is quietly leaking revenue at the final step, according to a Payoneer whitepaper.

As Asia’s e-commerce growth accelerates, a less visible constraint is beginning to surface — one that sits not at the start of the customer journey, but at its most critical point.

Payoneer’s latest whitepaper estimates that US$72 billion in transaction value is being lost each year across Asia-Pacific due to breakdowns at checkout, where payments fail, costs escalate, or funds are delayed.

For Singapore-based businesses operating at the center of regional trade flows, this challenge is disproportionately significant. The report estimates that more than US$12 billion in annual value exposure is tied to payment inefficiencies impacting Singapore merchants, highlighting how the complexity of cross-border commerce is increasingly shifting risk to the final step of conversion.

Cross-border growth exposing structural weakness

From regional online sellers targeting Southeast Asian consumers to independent direct-to-consumer (DTC) brands shipping globally, Singapore businesses are increasingly built for cross-border scale.

As transactions span multiple markets, what should be a simple checkout process becomes a fragmented chain of approvals, currency conversions, and settlement flows. The impact is already visible in consumer behavior.

Globally, a significant proportion of online carts are abandoned, with a large share linked to unexpected fees or payment friction. In Southeast Asia, 57% of consumers say they would increase cross-border purchases if fees were more transparent, indicating how quickly trust can break at the point of payment.

The implication is clear: demand is not the issue — the infrastructure converting that demand is.

Three pressure points quietly eroding revenue

The report identifies a set of recurring friction points across the payment journey that collectively contribute to value leakage.

1. Checkout breakdowns at the point of payment
Transactions may fail despite customer intent, often due to issuer declines, limited payment method availability, or inconsistencies in processing across markets. These failures occur at the final stage of conversion, where recovery is least likely.

2. Accumulated costs across fragmented payment flows
Cross-border transactions typically move through several intermediaries, each introducing additional fees or foreign exchange (FX) spreads. While these costs are not always immediately visible, they accumulate over time and have a direct impact on margins.

3. Delayed access to revenue after transaction completion
Settlement timelines can vary significantly depending on the number of institutions involved. Funds may take days to become available, creating a lag between recorded sales and usable cash. For businesses managing inventory cycles and reinvestment across markets, this delay has operational implications.

Capturing value from existing demand
The significance of these inefficiencies lies in the stage at which they occur. In most cases, the customer has already completed the decision-making process and is attempting to transact. As a result, the issue is less about generating demand and more about ensuring that transactions are successfully completed and settled.

Payoneer’s whitepaper suggests that even partial improvements to payment and settlement inefficiencies can translate into meaningful commercial impact. Illustrative merchant scenarios in the report indicate that ecommerce businesses generating US$10–20 million in annual revenue could potentially restore US$150,000–300,000 in annual profit, equivalent to a 10–15% EBITDA uplift, without additional sales growth.

Shift toward more integrated financial infrastructure

As cross-border commerce becomes more complex, businesses are reassessing how their payment and financial operations are structured. Rather than managing payment acceptance, FX, and settlement as separate functions, there is a growing shift towards integrating these processes into a more coordinated flow. The objective is to reduce fragmentation and improve consistency across markets.

This includes enabling locally relevant payment methods, reducing intermediary layers, improving visibility across currencies, and shortening the time between transaction and access to funds.

“Checkout is where businesses either capture or lose value,” said Nagesh Devata, SVP of APAC at Payoneer. “What we are seeing across Asia-Pacific is not a demand issue, but a coordination issue — where payments, FX, and settlement are handled in silos. Improving how these elements work together allows businesses to increase transaction success rates, reduce leakage across the payment journey, and gain more predictable access to revenue.”

Implications for businesses

As e-commerce across Asia-Pacific continues to scale, the efficiency of transaction execution is becoming as important as demand generation itself. The findings point to a broader shift in how growth is realized.

Beyond attracting customers, businesses will need to ensure that transactions can be completed reliably across markets, costs are managed within increasingly complex payment flows, and revenue can be accessed in time to support ongoing operations.

For companies operatig across multiple regional markets, these factors will play a growing role in determining competitiveness. The ability to reduce friction at checkout and improve the flow of funds is likely to influence not just conversion rates, but overall business resilience in an increasingly cross-border digital economy.

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